Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 82.2%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 75.0%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 74.8%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Svechkov 1-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
52.5% (320)
-10.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.4% (59)
+7.6%
On even strength, Ostapchuk has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Home
39.7% (247)
49.1% (171)
Away
44.0% (234)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
P1
36.1%
50.4%
P2
44.5%
46.8%
P3
44.1%
55.1%
Final 5 min
42.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |