Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 58.7%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 73.8%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 51.4%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
0
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
48.3% (271)
-11.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
25.0% (4)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Svechkov shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
Home
37.0% (181)
49.3% (140)
Away
36.4% (154)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Svechkov
Ostapchuk
P1
35.1%
49.1%
P2
44.4%
48.9%
P3
30.8%
47.5%
Final 5 min
35.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
36.7%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |