Scouting Report
Filip Chytil holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Hughes 37.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 52.8%
Defensive zone
Chytil 85.8%
Neutral zone
Chytil 55.7%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Chytil
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Chytil
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
1
Chytil
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
34.9% (444)
+5.0%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
50.0% (14)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
33.3% (6)
+6.7%
On power play, Hughes has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Chytil is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Chytil shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Chytil
Hughes
Home
38.2% (285)
37.4% (235)
Away
41.0% (346)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Chytil
Hughes
P1
38.0%
37.1%
P2
42.1%
33.7%
P3
39.2%
34.8%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |