Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 90.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 51.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 77.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Chytil
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chytil
Stenlund
Last 5: Chytil 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Chytil
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Chytil
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
58.6% (797)
-11.7%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
62.5% (24)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
60.5% (233)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Chytil is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Chytil shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Chytil
Stenlund
Home
49.7% (286)
58.6% (548)
Away
43.9% (278)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Chytil
Stenlund
P1
47.5%
60.2%
P2
47.1%
59.1%
P3
45.7%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |