Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.1% vs 42.0%). Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Chytil wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Chytil leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 55.3%
Defensive zone
Chytil 51.8%
Neutral zone
Chytil 53.7%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Chytil
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Chytil
Barzal
Last 10: Chytil 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
8
3
Chytil
Barzal
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
5
2
Chytil
Barzal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
5
4
Chytil
Barzal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
41.9% (3,565)
+0.2%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
43.4% (205)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
42.3% (26)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Chytil shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Chytil
Barzal
Home
42.8% (1,337)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Chytil
Barzal
P1
40.8%
40.7%
P2
43.8%
44.4%
P3
41.4%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
43.5%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |