Scouting Report
Filip Chytil holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Barzal 39.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 70.7%
Defensive zone
Chytil 60.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 62.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Chytil
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Chytil
Barzal
Last 7: Chytil 3-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Chytil
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Chytil
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
35.0% (283)
+4.9%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
55.6% (9)
-17.3%
On power play, Barzal has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Chytil shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Chytil
Barzal
Home
38.2% (285)
37.0% (138)
Away
41.0% (346)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Chytil
Barzal
P1
38.0%
29.5%
P2
42.1%
44.5%
P3
39.2%
31.8%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |