Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 44.3% vs Barzal 43.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 54.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 58.9%
Neutral zone
Chytil 53.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Chytil
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Chytil
Barzal
Last 7: Chytil 5-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
1
Chytil
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (74)
42.3% (813)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
47.4% (19)
+2.6%
On even strength, Barzal has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Chytil is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Chytil shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Chytil
Barzal
Home
37.1% (35)
44.3% (436)
Away
36.6% (41)
40.7% (398)
By Period
Chytil
Barzal
P1
34.6%
39.7%
P2
39.3%
44.3%
P3
36.4%
44.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |