Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 49.5% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.2%
Defensive zone
Chytil 63.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Chytil
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (114)
50.0% (992)
-1.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
64.9% (148)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Chytil is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Chytil shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Chytil
MacKinnon
Home
54.8% (73)
53.3% (591)
Away
40.8% (49)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Chytil
MacKinnon
P1
43.1%
49.9%
P2
59.5%
53.2%
P3
40.7%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%