Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Patrick 51.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Chytil leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 57.3%
Defensive zone
Patrick 71.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 66.7%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Chytil
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Chytil
Patrick
Last 10: Chytil 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
4
Chytil
Patrick
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
1
Chytil
Patrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
50.6% (1,978)
-8.5%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
57.5% (120)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
57.7% (26)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Chytil shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Chytil
Patrick
Home
42.8% (1,337)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Chytil
Patrick
P1
40.8%
52.9%
P2
43.8%
49.1%
P3
41.4%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |