Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs McLeod 52.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 62.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 86.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 61.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Chytil
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Chytil
McLeod
Last 5: Chytil 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
1
Chytil
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Chytil
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
52.9% (904)
-6.0%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
57.6% (59)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
49.0% (241)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Chytil shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Chytil
McLeod
Home
49.7% (286)
51.8% (612)
Away
43.9% (278)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Chytil
McLeod
P1
47.5%
55.4%
P2
47.1%
50.8%
P3
45.7%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |