Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 35.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 40.3% vs Aho 46.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 68.6%
Defensive zone
Chytil 78.8%
Neutral zone
Chytil 68.4%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Chytil
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chytil
Aho
Last 5: Chytil 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Chytil
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (470)
46.2% (744)
-7.3%
Power Play
37.8% (37)
44.6% (112)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
45.5% (33)
-33.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Chytil is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Chytil shoots left. Aho is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Chytil
Aho
Home
40.1% (272)
46.7% (445)
Away
36.6% (243)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Chytil
Aho
P1
39.6%
48.1%
P2
34.5%
44.9%
P3
41.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
38.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |