Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Aho 51.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 23-9 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 94.4%
Defensive zone
Chytil 83.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 90.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Chytil
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
23
(32 meetings)
9
23
Chytil
Aho
Last 10: Chytil 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
7
Chytil
Aho
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
6
Chytil
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
10
Chytil
Aho
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
50.1% (6,619)
-8.0%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
58.9% (1,310)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
46.3% (464)
-8.8%
On power play, Aho has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Chytil shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Chytil
Aho
Home
42.8% (1,337)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Chytil
Aho
P1
40.8%
51.1%
P2
43.8%
52.0%
P3
41.4%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |