Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 68.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 70.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.4%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Chytil
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Chytil
Nosek
Last 7: Chytil 3-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Chytil
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
54.9% (2,674)
-12.8%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
44.7% (47)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
47.4% (424)
-9.9%
On even strength, Nosek has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Chytil shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Chytil
Nosek
Home
42.8% (1,337)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Chytil
Nosek
P1
40.8%
52.3%
P2
43.8%
54.0%
P3
41.4%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |