Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.2%). Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Nazar 46.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 60.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Pettersson
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pettersson
Nazar
Last 6: Pettersson 5-1 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Nazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Nazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
46.9% (533)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
49.2% (132)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
25.6% (39)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nazar
Home
49.3% (584)
45.0% (329)
Away
44.5% (555)
47.2% (375)
By Period
Pettersson
Nazar
P1
45.8%
47.2%
P2
47.9%
43.1%
P3
47.1%
46.8%
OT
47.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |