Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Eichel 48.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nazar 50.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Nazar
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nazar
Eichel
Last 6: Nazar 3-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
2
Nazar
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
47.7% (858)
-0.8%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
55.6% (63)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
44.8% (87)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nazar is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Nazar shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Nazar
Eichel
Home
45.0% (329)
47.7% (509)
Away
47.2% (375)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Nazar
Eichel
P1
47.2%
49.5%
P2
43.1%
48.5%
P3
46.8%
46.8%
OT
75.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |