Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.8%
Defensive zone
Nazar 80.9%
Neutral zone
Nazar 67.6%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Nazar
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Nazar
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Nazar
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Nazar
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
53.7% (923)
-8.5%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
56.1% (244)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
58.6% (29)
-13.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Nazar
Draisaitl
Home
43.4% (196)
55.2% (636)
Away
45.9% (185)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Nazar
Draisaitl
P1
47.3%
50.8%
P2
40.3%
56.6%
P3
46.7%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
67.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |