Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Rossi 47.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 67.4%
Defensive zone
Rossi 54.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Nazar
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nazar
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
46.5% (879)
-1.3%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
48.6% (105)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
50.0% (8)
-5.2%
On power play, Rossi has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Nazar
Rossi
Home
43.4% (196)
47.5% (520)
Away
45.9% (185)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Nazar
Rossi
P1
47.3%
47.8%
P2
40.3%
44.2%
P3
46.7%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.6%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |