Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Thomas 51.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 70.5%
Defensive zone
Nazar 70.8%
Neutral zone
Nazar 70.5%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Nazar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Nazar
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Nazar
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Nazar
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
50.1% (615)
-3.2%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
62.2% (98)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
52.6% (114)
-27.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Nazar is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Nazar shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Nazar
Thomas
Home
45.0% (329)
51.9% (374)
Away
47.2% (375)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Nazar
Thomas
P1
47.2%
49.2%
P2
43.1%
55.3%
P3
46.8%
50.6%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |