Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Thomas 51.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 60.4%
Defensive zone
Nazar 60.9%
Neutral zone
Nazar 59.2%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Nazar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Nazar
Thomas
Last 10: Nazar 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nazar
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nazar
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Nazar
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (866)
51.1% (5,350)
-5.0%
Power Play
46.5% (172)
55.8% (921)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (69)
49.9% (691)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Nazar is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Nazar shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Home / Away
Nazar
Thomas
Home
44.2% (536)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
46.4% (571)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Nazar
Thomas
P1
47.3%
50.6%
P2
42.0%
52.9%
P3
46.0%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |