Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.2%). Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.4%
Neutral zone
Nazar 50.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Nazar
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Nazar
Hartman
Last 10: Nazar 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
6
Nazar
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
1
Nazar
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
3
Nazar
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (866)
45.2% (4,235)
+0.9%
Power Play
46.5% (172)
47.4% (443)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (69)
42.4% (262)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Nazar is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Nazar shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Nazar
Hartman
Home
44.2% (536)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
46.4% (571)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Nazar
Hartman
P1
47.3%
46.0%
P2
42.0%
42.9%
P3
46.0%
46.8%
OT
66.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |