Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Nielsen 49.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 71.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 67.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Henrique
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Henrique
Nielsen
Last 5: Henrique 0-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Henrique
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
3
Henrique
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
51.1% (856)
-7.3%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
50.0% (38)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
41.1% (190)
+6.2%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nielsen
Home
45.3% (422)
51.0% (510)
Away
43.5% (496)
47.7% (574)
By Period
Henrique
Nielsen
P1
44.3%
53.0%
P2
44.1%
45.4%
P3
45.5%
49.5%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 4, 2013 | OT | 04:02 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |