Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Nielsen 50.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 84.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 68.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Henrique
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Henrique
Nielsen
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Nielsen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
3
Henrique
Nielsen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Nielsen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
50.7% (899)
-6.2%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
54.8% (73)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
45.7% (197)
-2.5%
On power play, Nielsen has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nielsen
Home
46.9% (680)
51.1% (595)
Away
42.5% (701)
49.1% (574)
By Period
Henrique
Nielsen
P1
43.0%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
48.1%
P3
46.2%
49.3%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |