Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Nielsen 46.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 52.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Henrique
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Nielsen
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Nielsen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
47.6% (836)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
53.2% (47)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
38.0% (158)
+2.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nielsen
Home
50.0% (506)
50.4% (508)
Away
46.4% (549)
42.6% (533)
By Period
Henrique
Nielsen
P1
47.6%
48.1%
P2
50.1%
44.6%
P3
47.9%
46.8%
OT
23.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |