Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Nielsen 50.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 59.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Lowry
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Nielsen
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Lowry
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
2
Lowry
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Lowry
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
50.7% (899)
-4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.8% (73)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
45.7% (197)
-0.9%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nielsen
Home
49.9% (393)
51.1% (595)
Away
43.1% (452)
49.1% (574)
By Period
Lowry
Nielsen
P1
45.1%
53.2%
P2
44.8%
48.1%
P3
49.1%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |