Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.6% vs Nielsen 50.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 53.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Grant
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Grant
Nielsen
Last 6: Grant 3-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (99)
50.7% (899)
+5.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
54.8% (73)
-54.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
45.7% (197)
+4.3%
On power play, Nielsen has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Grant is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Grant shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Grant
Nielsen
Home
59.5% (37)
51.1% (595)
Away
52.7% (74)
49.1% (574)
By Period
Grant
Nielsen
P1
56.7%
53.2%
P2
54.1%
48.1%
P3
54.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.0%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |