Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Nielsen 46.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 75.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Stepan
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Stepan
Nielsen
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
2
Stepan
Nielsen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
0
Stepan
Nielsen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
47.6% (836)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
53.2% (47)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
38.0% (158)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nielsen
Home
48.2% (761)
50.4% (508)
Away
47.3% (789)
42.6% (533)
By Period
Stepan
Nielsen
P1
46.3%
48.1%
P2
50.4%
44.6%
P3
46.3%
46.8%
OT
55.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |