Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Beagle 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 66.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 63.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 65.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Nielsen
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nielsen
Beagle
Last 9: Nielsen 3-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Nielsen
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
3
Nielsen
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
58.1% (284)
-8.6%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
33.3% (3)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
52.6% (97)
-11.9%
On power play, Nielsen has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Nielsen is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Nielsen shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Beagle
Home
51.2% (510)
57.9% (183)
Away
45.4% (540)
55.2% (201)
By Period
Nielsen
Beagle
P1
48.6%
54.7%
P2
47.4%
62.1%
P3
48.9%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |