Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Beagle 56.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 61.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 64.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 65.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Nielsen
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
24
(51 meetings)
27
24
Nielsen
Beagle
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
15
4
Nielsen
Beagle
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
13
Nielsen
Beagle
18 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Nielsen
Beagle
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
57.5% (4,994)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
60.5% (119)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
54.2% (1,554)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Beagle
Home
49.9% (4,766)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Nielsen
Beagle
P1
49.7%
57.4%
P2
47.6%
57.1%
P3
48.2%
56.2%
OT
46.6%
41.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |