Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Beagle 55.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 75.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 56.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Nielsen
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
Nielsen
Beagle
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
0
Nielsen
Beagle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
4
Nielsen
Beagle
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
0
Nielsen
Beagle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
56.8% (799)
-2.6%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
64.7% (17)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
54.6% (291)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Nielsen shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Beagle
Home
55.3% (608)
57.6% (552)
Away
52.3% (606)
55.1% (555)
By Period
Nielsen
Beagle
P1
54.1%
56.9%
P2
52.6%
59.0%
P3
54.0%
54.0%
OT
65.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |