Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs McClement 52.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 70.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 66.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 51.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Nielsen
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Nielsen
McClement
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
1
Nielsen
McClement
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
2
Nielsen
McClement
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
4
Nielsen
McClement
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
54.4% (4,305)
-5.1%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
62.5% (104)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
47.2% (1,440)
-5.5%
On power play, McClement has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Nielsen
McClement
Home
49.9% (4,766)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Nielsen
McClement
P1
49.7%
53.5%
P2
47.6%
52.0%
P3
48.2%
53.2%
OT
46.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Jay McClement |