Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Colborne 52.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 69.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 79.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 55.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nielsen
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Colborne
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
3
Nielsen
Colborne
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Colborne
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
54.3% (94)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
54.4% (57)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
75.0% (4)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Colborne is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Colborne
Home
51.1% (595)
62.5% (88)
Away
49.1% (574)
44.8% (67)
By Period
Nielsen
Colborne
P1
53.2%
58.7%
P2
48.1%
56.1%
P3
49.3%
47.6%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |