Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.6%). Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Colborne 48.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 67.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 65.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 51.1%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Nielsen
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nielsen
Colborne
Last 7: Nielsen 3-4 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
4
Nielsen
Colborne
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Colborne
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Colborne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
47.7% (960)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
52.4% (170)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
54.3% (35)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Colborne
Home
49.9% (4,766)
56.1% (569)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
41.4% (596)
By Period
Nielsen
Colborne
P1
49.7%
50.3%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
48.2%
46.7%
OT
46.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |