Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Thornton 52.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 66.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 62.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 66.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Nielsen
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Nielsen
Thornton
Last 6: Nielsen 0-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
6
Nielsen
Thornton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
52.5% (638)
-2.8%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
57.1% (35)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
50.0% (2)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Thornton
Home
49.8% (422)
54.8% (341)
Away
47.9% (501)
50.6% (334)
By Period
Nielsen
Thornton
P1
48.8%
55.2%
P2
48.7%
56.5%
P3
49.0%
47.1%
OT
43.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |