Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 28-19 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 78.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Nielsen
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
19
(47 meetings)
28
19
Nielsen
Tavares
Last 10: Nielsen 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
12
7
Nielsen
Tavares
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
2
Nielsen
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
10
Nielsen
Tavares
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
54.0% (16,108)
-4.7%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
56.5% (4,283)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
50.6% (620)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Tavares
Home
49.9% (4,766)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Nielsen
Tavares
P1
49.7%
55.0%
P2
47.6%
54.1%
P3
48.2%
54.1%
OT
46.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |