Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Jooris 49.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.2%
Defensive zone
Jooris 79.6%
Neutral zone
Jooris 64.4%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Nielsen
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nielsen
Jooris
Last 7: Nielsen 2-5 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Nielsen
Jooris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Jooris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
3
Nielsen
Jooris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
50.3% (390)
+3.9%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
75.0% (4)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
41.1% (56)
+1.2%
On power play, Jooris has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Nielsen shoots left. Jooris is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jooris
Home
55.3% (608)
50.0% (218)
Away
52.3% (606)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Nielsen
Jooris
P1
54.1%
54.1%
P2
52.6%
42.1%
P3
54.0%
51.9%
OT
65.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |