Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 47.8%). Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Jooris 48.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.9%
Defensive zone
Jooris 52.6%
Neutral zone
Jooris 52.4%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Nielsen
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nielsen
Jooris
Last 9: Nielsen 3-6 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
2
Nielsen
Jooris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Jooris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
4
Nielsen
Jooris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.6% (1,221)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
61.0% (41)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
39.4% (175)
+2.3%
On power play, Jooris has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jooris
Home
49.9% (4,766)
49.0% (786)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Nielsen
Jooris
P1
49.7%
47.5%
P2
47.6%
44.3%
P3
48.2%
51.3%
OT
46.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |