Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Hayes 38.0% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 77.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 95.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 91.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Nielsen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Nielsen
Hayes
Last 8: Nielsen 7-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
1
Nielsen
Hayes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
37.1% (642)
+12.4%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
32.1% (28)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
0.0% (11)
+40.7%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Nielsen shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Hayes
Home
51.2% (510)
36.7% (354)
Away
45.4% (540)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Nielsen
Hayes
P1
48.6%
33.6%
P2
47.4%
38.3%
P3
48.9%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |