Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 47.7%). Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Hayes 47.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 60.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 55.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Nielsen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Nielsen
Hayes
Last 10: Nielsen 2-8 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
2
Nielsen
Hayes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
7
Nielsen
Hayes
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
5
Nielsen
Hayes
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
47.5% (6,708)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
51.7% (702)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
45.3% (697)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Hayes
Home
49.9% (4,766)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Nielsen
Hayes
P1
49.7%
47.5%
P2
47.6%
47.6%
P3
48.2%
47.9%
OT
46.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |