Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Hayes 46.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 91.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 58.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 84.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Nielsen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nielsen
Hayes
Last 7: Nielsen 5-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
45.4% (788)
+8.8%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
50.0% (56)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
45.2% (124)
-2.9%
On power play, Nielsen has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Hayes
Home
55.3% (608)
46.6% (459)
Away
52.3% (606)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Nielsen
Hayes
P1
54.1%
43.0%
P2
52.6%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
44.7%
OT
65.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |