Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Hayes 50.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 61.9%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 57.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 61.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Nielsen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nielsen
Hayes
Last 8: Nielsen 2-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
Nielsen
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Nielsen
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
50.4% (850)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
56.4% (39)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
50.2% (223)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Nielsen shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Hayes
Home
50.4% (508)
50.0% (586)
Away
42.6% (533)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Nielsen
Hayes
P1
48.1%
52.3%
P2
44.6%
52.3%
P3
46.8%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |