Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Shaw 46.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 52.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Nielsen
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nielsen
Shaw
Last 9: Nielsen 3-6 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Shaw
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
3
Nielsen
Shaw
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
3
Nielsen
Shaw
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
46.5% (157)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
66.7% (3)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
39.5% (43)
-1.5%
On power play, Shaw has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Shaw is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Shaw
Home
50.4% (508)
44.8% (96)
Away
42.6% (533)
45.8% (107)
By Period
Nielsen
Shaw
P1
48.1%
46.3%
P2
44.6%
45.6%
P3
46.8%
43.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |