Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Shaw 45.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 58.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 59.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 59.9%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Nielsen
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nielsen
Shaw
Last 9: Nielsen 3-6 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Shaw
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
3
Nielsen
Shaw
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
3
Nielsen
Shaw
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
46.4% (418)
+2.9%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
66.7% (6)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
35.4% (96)
+6.3%
On power play, Shaw has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Shaw
Home
49.9% (4,766)
46.2% (236)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
43.3% (284)
By Period
Nielsen
Shaw
P1
49.7%
41.3%
P2
47.6%
46.4%
P3
48.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |