Scouting Report
Max Talbot holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.6% vs Talbot 48.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 57.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 55.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Nielsen
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Nielsen
Talbot
Last 10: Nielsen 3-7 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Nielsen
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
4
Nielsen
Talbot
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (766)
50.5% (642)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
33.3% (18)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (125)
43.5% (207)
+4.5%
On power play, Nielsen has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Nielsen is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Nielsen shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Talbot
Home
46.8% (489)
49.9% (427)
Away
45.6% (476)
47.4% (447)
By Period
Nielsen
Talbot
P1
45.5%
48.4%
P2
47.5%
48.5%
P3
46.5%
48.8%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |