Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Talbot 47.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 53.4%
Defensive zone
Talbot 60.9%
Neutral zone
Talbot 60.3%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Nielsen
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Nielsen
Talbot
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
3
Nielsen
Talbot
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nielsen
Talbot
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
4
Nielsen
Talbot
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.3% (1,738)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
49.0% (51)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
42.3% (631)
-0.6%
On power play, Nielsen has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Talbot
Home
49.9% (4,766)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Nielsen
Talbot
P1
49.7%
48.7%
P2
47.6%
43.5%
P3
48.2%
48.6%
OT
46.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |