Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 44.4%). Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Talbot 45.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 50.7%
Defensive zone
Talbot 53.9%
Neutral zone
Talbot 53.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Nielsen
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Talbot
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Nielsen
Talbot
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Nielsen
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
45.1% (450)
+0.5%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
50.0% (20)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
40.5% (163)
-0.9%
On power play, Nielsen has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Talbot
Home
45.6% (581)
47.8% (295)
Away
44.9% (575)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Nielsen
Talbot
P1
47.0%
47.0%
P2
44.0%
41.5%
P3
44.9%
44.5%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Max Talbot |