Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Backlund 47.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 62.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 57.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Nielsen
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Nielsen
Backlund
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
4
Nielsen
Backlund
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
47.2% (1,002)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
46.7% (150)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
50.0% (170)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Backlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Backlund
Home
51.0% (510)
48.3% (633)
Away
47.7% (574)
46.7% (689)
By Period
Nielsen
Backlund
P1
53.0%
49.2%
P2
45.4%
48.9%
P3
49.5%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |