Frans Nielsen vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.0%). Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Backlund 49.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Nielsen
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
27
(57 meetings)
30
27
Nielsen
Backlund
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
11
4
Nielsen
Backlund
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
6
Nielsen
Backlund
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
11
17
Nielsen
Backlund
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
49.7% (13,410)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
51.6% (1,336)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
44.0% (2,446)
-2.3%
On power play, Nielsen has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Backlund
Home
49.9% (4,766)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Nielsen
Backlund
P1
49.7%
48.5%
P2
47.6%
50.3%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
46.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2017 | OT | 03:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2017 | OT | 03:40 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |