Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.6%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Backlund 49.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 62.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Nielsen
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nielsen
Backlund
Last 5: Nielsen 0-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Nielsen
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Nielsen
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
49.2% (884)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
44.3% (61)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
57.0% (86)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Backlund
Home
49.8% (422)
49.3% (531)
Away
47.9% (501)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Nielsen
Backlund
P1
48.8%
47.1%
P2
48.7%
53.7%
P3
49.0%
47.8%
OT
43.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |