Frans Nielsen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 74.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 53.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Last 7: Nielsen 5-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
0
Nielsen
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Nielsen
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
45.2% (365)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
57.1% (63)
-3.0%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Nielsen is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Nielsen shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Home
51.2% (510)
48.0% (225)
Away
45.4% (540)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Nielsen
MacKinnon
P1
48.6%
41.1%
P2
47.4%
49.6%
P3
48.9%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |