Frans Nielsen vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 72.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 62.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
14
(36 meetings)
22
14
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
4
Nielsen
MacKinnon
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
4
Nielsen
MacKinnon
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Nielsen
MacKinnon
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
46.1% (11,218)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
53.3% (1,412)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
42.8% (502)
-1.1%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Home
49.9% (4,766)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Nielsen
MacKinnon
P1
49.7%
47.4%
P2
47.6%
46.6%
P3
48.2%
46.1%
OT
46.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |